ICICI Securities Limited Broker Research reports

Aurobindo Pharma’s (Aurobindo) Q4FY23 result was slightly better than our expectation. We believe US dynamics is set to improve as product withdrawal by some companies is driving volumes and stability in pricing.

TCI Express’ (TCIE) Q4FY23 EBITDA performance surpassed our estimates by ~12.7% primarily on higher volumes and better capacity utilisation leading to higher margins. Key points: 1) Truck utilisation improved to ~85% in Q4FY23 vs average of 84.25% in FY23; 2) EBITDA margin expanded by 190bps QoQ to 16.6% (vs 16.8% in Q4FY22 and 14.7% in Q3FY23).

Astra Microwave’s (AMW) Q4FY23 EBITDA was up 34% YoY to Rs343mn. Key highlights: i) higher proportion of exports at 54.6% (Q3FY23: 31.5%) led to QoQ decline in EBITDA margin due to low-margin nature of exports; 2) order inflow during the quarter stood at Rs1.2bn, including Rs722mn from defence sector.

Archean Chemical’s (ACI) Q4FY23 EBITDA grew 21.5% YoY to Rs1.9bn due to robust pricing in bromine and salt segments. Company is seeing pressure on bromine export volumes and realisations, which is expected to improve only in the next two quarters.

As per HM management, the areas on which HM is working for its clients are non discretionary in nature. HM is working on core part of clients’ technology which the clients use to deliver their services or engage with their customers, or provide services
to their employees.

Sobha Ltd. (SOBHA) achieved record Q4FY23 gross sales bookings of 1.48msf worth Rs14.6bn (up 32% YoY in value terms) aided by the company achieving its highest ever gross realisation of Rs9,898/psf.

Balkrishna Industries’ (BIL) Q4FY23 EBITDA margin at 20.3% was in line with our estimate and up 420bps QoQ, driven by gradual decline in the cost of consumed raw material basket (RMB) and relatively lower-priced freight contracts. BIL is aiming at 200-300bps EBITDAM improvement in FY24 over current levels –on the back of lower RMB cost, better hedge rate and further normalisation of logistics cost.

GE T&D India (GETD) reported a weak set of numbers for Q4FY23 with subdued revenue and net loss due to lower opening order backlog and reduced profitability as a result of increased cost of certain electronics and execution of low-margin orders.

AIA Engineering (AIAE) reported a resilient set of numbers with EBITDA up 40% YoY to Rs3.2bn. This was led by 3% YoY / 12.2% YoY growth in volumes / realisation and 420bps YoY improvement in EBITDA margin to 23%. However, sequentially realisation declined slightly by 2% (lower than our estimates and company guidance).

Gateway Distriparks’ (GDL) Q4FY23 EBITDA performance (excluding written-back provision) was slightly (~1-2%) below our and street expectations. Key takeaways: 1) throughput in rail segment was up 3.5% YoY and 18.9% QoQ while throughput in CFS/ICS declined 6.9% YoY and 0.7% in QoQ (due to slowdown in EXIM volumes and imbalances).